城市道路人行横道处驾驶人决策行为规律及损失
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作者单位:

(1.哈尔滨工业大学 交通科学与工程学院,150090 哈尔滨; 2. 吉林建筑大学 交通科学与工程学院,130018 长春; 3.东北农业大学 水利与建筑学院,150030 哈尔滨)

作者简介:

程国柱(1977—),男,博士,副教授.

通讯作者:

秦丽辉,qinlh1977@163.com.

中图分类号:

U491

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金(51108136); 吉林省自然科学基金(201215176).


Drivers’ decision behavior rule and loss at urban road crosswalk
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Affiliation:

(1. School of Transportation Science and Engineering,Harbin Institute of Technology,150090 Harbin,China; 2. School of Transportation Science and Engineering,Jilin Jianzhu University, 130018 Changchun, China; 3. School of Water Conservancy and Civil Engineering, Northeast Agricultural University, 150030 Harbin, China)

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    摘要:

    为给驾驶人在城市道路人行横道处安全通行提供决策依据,通过进行驾驶人决策与风险感知试验,对驾驶人的感知风险及决策行为进行分析. 给出了驾驶人感知风险随机动车速度变化的规律及驾驶人决策行为的损失函数,基于概率论构建了驾驶人碰撞风险概率模型,并标定了在不同车速等级下的行车延误和碰撞风险损失. 研究结果表明:当行车速度较低时,驾驶人采取匀速和加速为较优策略,而减速则会增加损失;当行车速度处于中等时,驾驶人采取加速、减速、匀速策略损失相差不大,但以匀速较优;当行车速度较高时,驾驶人对于自身的最优策略应该是保持匀速通过.

    Abstract:

    In order to provide decision for drivers at urban road crosswalk, experiment of driver’s decision and risk perception was conducted. And driver’s perceptional risk and decision were analyzed. Changing rule of driver perceptional risk with speed variation was given, and driver’s decision loss function was put forward. Collision risk probability model was established based on probability theory. Loss for delay and collision risk was calibrated respectively. The redult is that driver should keep uniform speed or accelerate at low speed, and deceleration will increase loss; at medium speed, there is no evident difference for driver among acceleration, deceleration and keeping uniform speed, but keeping uniform speed is better; at high speed, the best solution is keeping uniform speed.

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程国柱,吴立新,秦丽辉,刘博通.城市道路人行横道处驾驶人决策行为规律及损失[J].哈尔滨工业大学学报,2015,47(9):63. DOI:10.11918/j. issn.0367-6234.2015.09.012

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  • 收稿日期:2014-05-04
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  • 在线发布日期: 2015-11-09
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