Traffic conflict probability distribution for non motor vehicles at curb parking area
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(1. School of Transportation Science and Engineering, Harbin Institute of Technology, 150090 Harbin, China; 2. College of Traffic, Northeast Forestry University, 150080 Harbin, China; 3. College of Automobile and Traffic Engineering, Heilongjiang Institute of Technology, 150050 Harbin, China)

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U491.3

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    Abstract:

    To bring insight into the non-motor vehicle’s riding behavior mechanism influenced by curb parking, judgment criterion of serious traffic conflict between non-motor vehicle and vehicle (STCNV), non-motor vehicle’s averting danger behaviors and the probability distribution model of the STCNV were put forward and studied based on the survey data on scene. Firstly, non-complete braking distance was presented as the judgment index of the STCNV; the data of traffic conflicts and non-motor vehicle’s averting danger behaviors was collected at the curb parking area; and the deceleration behavior was concluded as the main averting danger behavior. Then, the Poisson probability distribution model of the STCNV was constructed; the safety judgment model for non-motor vehicle’s riding and its critical value calculation standard was proposed on the bias of the Normal distribution, and the safety evaluation was implemented for the survey sections.

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History
  • Received:July 30,2014
  • Revised:
  • Adopted:
  • Online: March 03,2015
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