Two-stage extraction method for flight delay pattern
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(Optimization Laboratory of Civil Aviation Transportation, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, 211100 Nanjing, China)

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F56

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    Abstract:

    For the problem of severer flight delays, based on the relative research achievements in domestic and aboard, this paper proposes a two-stage method for extracting flight delay patterns. Firstly, this method uses the phase-space reconstruction theory and Recurrence Plot to analyze the chaotic characteristics of flight delay rate. Then, after acquiring the delay time subsequences, the Recursive Quantitative Analysis and K-means Clustering technology were used to extract flight delay patterns, and the characteristics of time-varying of flight delay patterns were analyzed. Finally, the example verifies this method can not only effectively extract flight delay patterns, but also can get the time-varying characteristics of the patterns. The result provides managerial and decisive reference of prediction and warning of flight delay for airports and airlines.

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History
  • Received:November 04,2014
  • Revised:
  • Adopted:
  • Online: November 09,2015
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