| 引用本文: | 周伟,赵胜川.动态路况信息下的出发时间选择行为分析[J].哈尔滨工业大学学报,2012,44(8):101.DOI:10.11918/j.issn.0367-6234.2012.08.020 |
| ZHOU Wei,ZHAO Sheng-chuan.Analysis of choice behavior of travelers’ departure timeunder urban dynamic road traffic information[J].Journal of Harbin Institute of Technology,2012,44(8):101.DOI:10.11918/j.issn.0367-6234.2012.08.020 |
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| 摘要: |
| 为了探讨动态路况信息对出发时间选择行为的影响程度,采用正交试验法设计出行意愿调查问卷,对大连市有驾车经验的出行者进行调查,然后采用离散选择方法建立了不同路况信息条件下的时间选择行为模型,最后对解释变量影响出发时间的改变倾向进行量化分析.结果表明,出行者对最大出行时间和最小出行时间的敏感系数分别为-0.065 7和-0.027 9,女性对于出行时间不确定性的敏感度比男性更高,而敏感度最高的是出行费用,个人属性中的年龄、收入和驾龄是影响出发时间选择行为的主要因素,从而为个性化交通路况信息的发布提供决策依据. |
| 关键词: 路况信息 出发时间选择 离散选择 意愿调查 |
| DOI：10.11918/j.issn.0367-6234.2012.08.020 |
| 分类号: |
| 基金项目:国家自然科学基金资助项目 (50978046). |
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| Analysis of choice behavior of travelers’ departure timeunder urban dynamic road traffic information |
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ZHOU Wei1,2, ZHAO Sheng-chuan3
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1.Faculty of Management and Economics, Dalian University of Technology, 116024 Dalian,Liaoning,China ;2.School of Transportation and Logistics, Dalian University of Technology,116024 Dalian,Liaoning, China;3.School of Transportation and Logistics, Dalian University of Technology,116024 Dalian,Liaoning, China
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| Abstract: |
| To study the choice behavior of travelers’ departure time under urban dynamic road traffic information, this paper designs stated preference survey to obtain data from travelers with driving experience in Dalian city and develops a time choice behavioral model based on discrete choice method. The analysis results over this model indicate that the parameters of maximum travel time and minimum travel time are very different, and the estimated coefficients are-0.065 7 and-0.027 9 respectively. The most sensitive parameter is travel cost. The female’s sensitivity to the uncertainty of travel time is higher than male’s, and the travelers’ age, income and years of driving experience significantly impact their departure time choice behavior, which will provide decision basis for personalized traffic information service. |
| Key words: road traffic information departure time choice discrete choice method stated preference survey |
