| 引用本文: | 罗玉芳,陈梦微,王殿海.出行方式链的转换成本估计[J].哈尔滨工业大学学报,2020,52(3):11.DOI:10.11918/201812108 |
| LUO Yufang,CHEN Mengwei,WANG Dianhai.Estimation of cost in travel mode chain conversion[J].Journal of Harbin Institute of Technology,2020,52(3):11.DOI:10.11918/201812108 |
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| 摘要: |
| 为更准确预测居民出行方式选择,构建考虑心理因素的方式综合转换成本测算模型. 以杭州市居民出行行为为例,运用条件价值法,通过线上线下相结合的问卷调查,得到出行者的个人属性、出行方式链选择以及为了避免方式转换环节的最大支付意愿价格. 研究结果表明:变动转换成本随着转换级数的增加而增加,随转换时间的增加呈指数增长；同时,结果标定了不同转换级数下全方式间的固定转换成本矩阵. 方式综合转换成本测算模型的建立,可以预测基于出行方式链的居民出行需求. |
| 关键词: 交通规划 出行成本 方式转换成本 最大支付意愿 转换成本模型 |
| DOI：10.11918/201812108 |
| 分类号:U491.1 |
| 文献标识码:A |
| 基金项目:国家自然科学基金(61773338) 教育部人文社科基金青年基金(17YJCZH124) |
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| Estimation of cost in travel mode chain conversion |
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LUO Yufang,CHEN Mengwei,WANG Dianhai
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(College of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou 310058, China)
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| Abstract: |
| To predict residents’ preference for travel modes more precisely, a comprehensive conversion cost model considering psychological factors is introduced in this paper. By taking the travel behaviors of Hangzhou residents as an example, online and offline surveys using questionnaire were conducted with the aid of the contingent valuation method to obtain travelers’ personal information, choice for travel mode chain, and the maximum cost quantified by the expense that they are willing to pay for avoiding mode conversion. Results show that the variable conversion cost increased with the increase of conversion series and had a positive exponential correlation with conversion time. Meanwhile, the results demarcated fixed conversion cost matrix among all the modes in different conversion series. The establishment of the comprehensive conversion cost calculation model can predict the travel demands of residents based on the travel mode chain. |
| Key words: traffic planning trip cost mode conversion cost maximum willingness to pay conversion cost model |
